They picked up wins over Army and UMBC, but those are two teams I’m extremely low on compared to the market – and ShotQuality graded the UMBC win as a nine-point analytical loss.Īfter that, the Red Foxes went to Binghamton and were promptly blown out, 82-59. Without Gardner, the Red Foxes are 304th nationally in Offensive Efficiency. The Red Foxes are also trying to replace their top scorer from last year’s team, second-team All-MAAC sixth-man Patrick Gardner, who accounted for 19 of Marist’s 64 points per game last season.

They went 4-for-31 from 3 and 11-for-17 from the free-throw line, two things that shouldn’t happen.īased on the “quality” of shots taken and allowed, ShotQuality projects that game as a 10-point New Hampshire win.Įssentially, the Wildcats are undervalued, and I like how they’re playing.Įnter Marist, an overvalued team after an unlikely run to the MAAC Tournament championship game last season. The Wildcats lost on the road to George Washington by 12 as 10-point ‘dogs, but the score was much closer than you’d think. However, the real reason New Hampshire has value here is because of its last game. They’re 89th nationally in eFG% allowed through four games, and Daniels is dropping 21/8. They hung tough with Syracuse, losing by 11 as 14-point ‘dogs, before crushing Brown by 18. So far, these new-look Wildcats look pretty good. He wanted to push the pace and brought in a brand-new, quick-twitch point guard for that reason (Ahmad Robinson from Western Texas). However, Davis’ main contributions would come on the offensive end. So, New Hampshire can continue to lean on a rock-solid defense – the Wildcats finished third in the AmEast in Defensive Efficiency last season – and potential AmEast POY Clarence Daniels, one of the best three-level scoring forwards and rebounders in the mid-majors. Entering the year, the Wildcats hired a new coach - Nathan Davis from Bucknell - but returned most of their frontcourt from last year’s squad.

How to win the pick 4 consistently